PURPOSE:
Validated and accurate prognostic testing is critical for precision medicine in uveal melanoma (UM). Our aims were to (1) prospectively validate an integrated prognostic classifier combining a 15-gene expression profile (15-GEP) and
PRAME
RNA expression and (2) identify clinical variables that enhance the prognostic accuracy of the 15-GEP/
PRAME
classifier.
MATERIALS AND METHODS:
This study included 1,577 patients with UM of the choroid and/or ciliary body who were enrolled in the Collaborative Ocular Oncology Group Study Number 2 (COOG2) and prospectively monitored across 26 North American centers. Test results for 15-GEP (class 1 or class 2) and
PRAME
expression status (negative or positive) were available for all patients. The primary end point was metastasis-free survival (MFS).
RESULTS:
15-GEP was class 1 in 1,082 (68.6%) and class 2 in 495 (31.4%) patients.
PRAME
status was negative in 1,106 (70.1%) and positive in 471 (29.9%) patients. Five-year MFS was 95.6% (95% CI, 93.9 to 97.4) for class 1/
PRAME
(–), 80.6% (95% CI, 73.9 to 87.9) for class 1/
PRAME
(+), 58.3% (95% CI, 51.1 to 66.4) for class 2/
PRAME
(–), and 44.8% (95% CI, 37.9 to 52.8) for class 2/
PRAME
(+). By multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, 15-GEP was the most important independent predictor of MFS (hazard ratio [HR], 5.95 [95% CI, 4.43 to 7.99];
P <
.001), followed by
PRAME
status (HR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.42 to 2.33];
P <
.001). The only clinical variable demonstrating additional prognostic value was tumor diameter.
CONCLUSION:
In the largest prospective multicenter prognostic biomarker study performed to date in UM to our knowledge, the COOG2 study validated the superior prognostic accuracy of the integrated 15-GEP/
PRAME
classifier over 15-GEP alone and clinical prognostic variables. Tumor diameter was found to be the only clinical variable to provide additional prognostic information. This prognostic classifier provides an advanced resource for risk-adjusted metastatic surveillance and adjuvant trial stratification in patients with UM.