The biotech is preparing to meet with the FDA and start a phase 3 program this year. \n Lexicon Pharmaceuticals is yet again defending a mixed set of data on its non-opioid pain prospect. The biotech focused on low-dose results from its latest phase 2 trial, rather than the overall primary endpoint miss, but investors took a much more downbeat view of the data.Texas-based Lexicon published data from two phase 2 trials in 2022. Based on the findings, the biotech dropped the loading dose from the regimen for its third midphase study to improve tolerability. Monday, Lexicon shared topline results from the third study, which compared three regimens of the AAK1 inhibitor LX9211 to placebo in adults with diabetic peripheral neuropathic (DPN) pain.Pooling data from all the treatment arms, LX9211 was no better than placebo at improving average daily pain score (ADPS) after eight weeks. Lexicon blamed the primary endpoint miss on the high-dose cohort.Mean ADPS fell 1.74 and 1.38 points, respectively, in the low- and high-dose cohorts. People who began on the high dose and then switched to the low dose experienced a 1.7-point reduction. The results look solid compared to Lexicon’s earlier DPN trial, when the biotech saw reductions of 1.4 and 1.3 points, respectively. The problem, for Lexicon, is that placebo performed better in the latest trial too. The mean ADPS reduction on placebo in the latest study was 1.31, compared to 0.7 in the earlier trial. The upshot is the placebo-adjusted change at the low dose fell from around 0.7 to 0.4 between the two trials. Analysts were already questioning whether a 0.7-point delta was meaningful. Steve Edelman, a professor of medicine at the University of California San Diego, made the case that the data point was indeed meaningful at a Lexicon event in January.Investors made their own feelings about this morning\'s results clear, sending Lexicon’s share price down 40% to 42 cents when the markets opened Monday. Lexicon is publicly more positive about the study, which, in its eyes, delivered on its goal of identifying a phase 3 dose. Lexicon has seen separation from the control at the low dose in two trials and a placebo-like dropout rate in the latest study.Buoyed by those findings, the biotech is preparing to meet with the FDA and start a phase 3 program this year. Craig Granowitz, M,D., Ph.D., chief medical officer at Lexicon, made the case that the candidate can hit in phase 3 on a call with analysts to discuss the data, noting that increasing enrollment to the 300 to 350 subjects per arm planned for the phase 3 and extending the study’s duration will bring benefits.“We feel pretty confident that first of all, the trends in pain reduction will continue with the treatment arm, especially with a much lower dropout rate and with many more patients,” Granowitz said. “The variance of the data should also shrink, which should improve the statistical reliability of the dataset.”