Wall Street’s expectations for Bristol Myers Squibb’s upcoming slate of data readouts are reaching a fever pitch.
Analysts lobbed questions regarding at least half a dozen trial results expected by the end of 2026, in a year that’s shaping up to be a
pivotal one for Bristol Myers
. The studies will help BMS chart its future as the company manages two looming patent cliffs for the blood thinner Eliquis and immunotherapy Opdivo.
If the trials succeed, Bristol Myers should be able to bridge those cliffs with an eye toward growth in the 2030s.
But in a sobering reminder of the challenges of drug development, the company also said a Phase 3 confirmatory study for the KRAS drug Krazati
failed
in second-line colorectal cancer. Other first-generation KRAS drugs have struggled to gain full approval. In 2023, Amgen’s Lumakras was
denied full approval
in lung cancer.
The full results will be disclosed at a future medical meeting, a company spokesperson said, and BMS plans to “discuss the findings and potential next steps with regulatory authorities.”
Colorectal cancer had been projected as one of Krazati’s smaller markets. Jefferies analysts previously pegged peak sales in this area at $420 million annually. Bristol Myers acquired Krazati in
its $4.8 billion buyout
of Mirati Therapeutics.
Pipeline excitement
has been building
for a while, and three drugs drew the most interest on the call: Cobenfy, which has three studies in Alzheimer’s-associated psychosis currently ongoing; milvexian, a next-generation blood thinner; and pumitamig, Bristol Myers’ PD-1xVEGF bispecific being developed in partnership with BioNTech.
Cristian Massacesi, BMS’ new chief medical officer, said the Cobenfy studies should provide results around the same time later this year, noting BMS will need two of the three trials to be successful in order to get approval. Alzheimer’s-associated psychosis is a key area for Cobenfy, which is already approved for schizophrenia, to justify the $14 billion Bristol Myers spent for Karuna.
Despite the landmark schizophrenia approval in 2024, Cobenfy
failed
to improve symptoms in the adjunctive setting last year. But “the confidence remains unchanged,” Massacesi said.
Milvexian, meanwhile, is looking for a win after it
failed a Phase 3 study
last year, for appearing unlikely to prevent major heart events such as heart attack or stroke. Bristol Myers, which is developing milvexian with Johnson & Johnson, is still testing whether the drug can work in other heart conditions like atrial fibrillation and secondary stroke prevention.
Both of those trials should have results this year. Given the earlier failure, analysts appeared particularly interested in the range of results for these trials, with one noting on the call there will likely be “a rich set of outcomes between a clean win and miss.” Massacesi did not get into specifics, saying only that the studies remain “on track” for this year.
Pumitamig’s first pivotal data won’t arrive until at least 2028, but earlier-stage studies may have data this year.
Editor’s note: This story and headline have been updated to new include information about the failure of a confirmatory study for Krazati.